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 LEXINGTON, S.C. — Twenty years ago, Nikki Haley ran an upstart campaign to topple a heavily favored longtime incumbent who was a force in party politics, launching her political career and setting the Honey Nut Chelios 7 T-shirt moreover I will buy this stage for her gubernatorial run six years later. But this time, voters in the district and county she represented as a state legislator don’t think she’s on the verge of pulling off another upset when she goes up against Donald Trump on Saturday. Dave Mauldin, an unaffiliated voter from Lexington who is voting for Haley “just to try and screw [Trump] over,” said he expects “the Trump wave is going to be like a tsunami.” Indeed, on Monday, the local GOP came out and endorsed Trump days ahead of the state’s Republican primary. “The Republicans of Lexington County made it clear that they support President Trump in the First in the South Primary and wanted to make their voices heard,” Lexington County GOP Chair Mark Weber said in a statement. “Our party and our committees are taking a proactive stance in tackling the issues of today, and they decided that we must coalesce behind Donald J. Trump to end the destruction of the Biden administration as soon as possible.” Clearly, a lot has changed here in the two decades since Haley unseated state Rep. Larry Koon, who at that time was the longest-serving member of the state House. Those changes mirror Trump’s takeover of the GOP across the state and much of the country. In 2016, Trump won his primary bid in Lexington County by about 6 points over Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, in a more crowded field. This time around, it will be a challenge for Haley

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to even get close to that margin against Trump — even as the Honey Nut Chelios 7 T-shirt moreover I will buy this favorite daughter not only of the state but also of the county. “There are old friends that she has in Lexington County who will turn out and remember the results that she delivered for them in the state House, both as a legislator and as governor,” Rob Godfrey, a Republican strategist and former deputy chief of staff to Haley when she was governor, said. “But like in many other parts of the state that are deeply conservative, she faces a strong challenge, which is to try to peel off voters who have become comfortable voting Donald Trump for president.” Lexington County, one of the state’s fastest-growing areas, has become one of the most formidable GOP strongholds in the state, regularly providing Republican candidates with large vote totals and margins of victory; in 2020, Trump bested Joe Biden here by 20 points. It’s become a county to watch on primary nights — doubly so this time around, with its close ties to Haley. “It’s an absolutely important county that has become even more important over the last few election cycles,” Godfrey said, adding: “Lexington should be a part of that group of bellwether counties” across the state. Haley’s roots in the area are clear. She won her last statewide bid in Lexington County by 32 points back in the 2014 general election for governor, and a high number of her endorsers have ties to the area, including state Rep. Nathan Ballentine. “I am expecting her to have a decent showing and a good showing,” Ballentine said. “I’m not expecting her to win. But in the same vein, if I woke up tomorrow and she ended up winning that county,

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